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Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

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RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares).

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

prosportsonline.net

By: Manny G

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. . Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

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NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction

The Negative Influences of Media on Society You Never Thought About

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It’s not possible to insulate yourself completely from the effects of media, even if you limit the exposure. And there are so many things you see around you, without choosing to watch them. Media influences public opinion and impacts the choices that people make. Parents and teachers have a big role to play in selecting what the young should see and what they should not.

To some extent, media is responsible for generating negative feelings among those exposed to it. But unfortunately sometimes, the message is misconstrued. The impact of media is such that the wrong, the controversial, and the bad is more talked about. An inferiority complex and lowered confidence in people with not-so-perfect bodies can lead to eating disorders. Here, we will try to understand how media influences us negatively.

The media in itself is so addictive that once glued to it, you tend to forget everything else. There’s no one advertising the benefits of eating fresh fruit everyday, no one’s promoting drinking 8 glasses of water daily. There is no denying their amusement value or entertainment quotient. This is leading teenagers to adopt unhealthy eating habits. Just like them, even you want to be in the news. Don’t take media portrayals by their word. What is shown with an intent to ‘spread a message’ ends up becoming a bombardment of the bad, the ugly. Media is the interface through which millions look at the world outside. Those at a vulnerable age, especially children and teenagers, are highly influenced by anything that is put before them in a jazzy way. Sometimes, little things are blown out of proportion thus changing the way they are perceived by the audience. The craze for models or actors and actresses, makes teenagers want bodies and facial features like theirs. So there is a section positively influenced by the media while there are others who take the wrong message from it. Aren’t there ghost and vampire stories that media claims as real? These characters enter our world through books and movies. Refrain from watching such programs or news. While a certain amount of exposure to media is essential for introducing ourselves to the world outside, excessive exposure, uncontrolled access and belief without thought won’t lead us anywhere. It influences their behavior both positively and negatively. You want to wear the shade of nail polish Lady Gaga wears for that frantic gaga look. The ‘awakening’ does not reach everyone or it reaches the masses in the wrong way. Any publicity is good publicity, you begin to feel.

Your role models are people that the media exposes you to. The only way to shield yourself from them, is to not allow them to influence you. Lack of physical activity leads to obesity problems. When you are not watching TV, you are surfing the Internet, when you are not on the web, you are reading newspapers, when you are not reading anything, you are listening to something. The bad is overinflated and the good goes unnoticed. The media is constantly bombarding us with information. They will only make the negative influence of media more obvious.

Information Overload

The media has, in its own way, changed people’s outlook towards life. This can, and has led to increasing cases of anorexia. And not just children, the unpleasant can impact even an adult’s mind. Media is exposing the masses to fast food products, canned food, fad diets, and energy drinks. With a ‘world’ of information and entertainment waiting on the other side of a computer or TV screen, it’s not unnatural for anyone to spend hours exploring it; it’s addictive. Instead, watch good programs that carry healthy content, engage in positive activities, and encourage others to do the same. They are ready to starve themselves to lose weight. The media does play a role in portraying thin as beautiful and fat as ugly. With the intent of stressing their point or for grabbing greater attention from the masses, media hypes or exaggerates things to a certain degree. But media did play a role in propagating these characters and making them seem real. In a survey done on fifth graders by the National Institute on Media and the Family, it was found that kids had become dissatisfied with their bodies after watching a video of a certain very popular artiste and a certain scene from a popular TV show (names omitted on purpose).

You want to imitate an action sequence just because your favorite action hero looked ‘cool’ doing it. If children are bombarded with fight sequences, stunt work, sex and rape scenes, suicides and murders through books or movies, they are bound to leave a scar on these impressionable minds. When the two worlds mix, life becomes difficult.

Changed Outlook

The negatives in society are highlighted with the purpose of awakening people about them. Sometimes, small incidents or events in the lives of celebrities and politicians are hyped, in order to make them more sensational. The positive effects are surely celebrated by one and all. But the negative effects are not conducive to a healthy society. Put things in perspective, and don’t let the media influence you to do the wrong things.

Negativity

Media Addiction

Vampires, werewolves, witches, ghosts – where did they come from? Fairies, superheroes, angels – where did they come from? It’s not only media to be blamed, as these characters belong to folklore. We don’t judge, we get influenced. The benefits of following a balanced diet are not being hyped anywhere. People spending hours in front of a television or surfing the Internet experience eye problems. Watching TV or browsing the web late night is spoiling the sleeping habits of many.

The Solution

The solution to avoiding the negative influence of media lies in limiting media exposure and choosing what to watch. News sources often bombard you with the same negative stories over and over again, in order to increase the impact. For example, the negative effects of addiction are portrayed through advertisements. You want to do everything that people from the glamor world do, you want to be like your favorite celebrity. The reel entertains only till its difference from the real is understood. When this thought grips the minds of youngsters, they take to fad diets or turn to cosmetic surgeries to get that so-called perfect body. It is bombarding you with content, news, information, gossip, rumors – it is exposing you to everything it has, some things necessary, some not; some things important, some not, some things you want to ignore, some things you cannot. Media is everywhere, affecting every aspect of life.

The negative effects of media on children are manifested in terms of their changing mental setup and the declining quality of their lifestyle. Newspapers, television and the Internet are used to convey social messages. Depiction of the bad has a negative impact on kids not mature enough to interpret what they are being shown. This affects kids and teenagers the most, as they are exposed to things they might interpret wrongly or may not even understand at that age.

Women with petite bodies and girls with a barbie figure are always shown to be more popular or attractive while the overweight are portrayed as less popular, having less friends and being bullied. Thus, all the time, you are glued to some form of media. Media claims to depict the ‘today’, but not all types of media show only the truth. Media highlights controversies and scandals in the lives of celebrities. Media influences them negatively. Use your judgment before following or falling for anything. You want to sport your favorite actors’ hairstyles and you want to walk like those ramp models do. This makes the overweight feel out of place. You ask me why? Well, because there are these junk food advertisements everywhere. But isn’t it too much to blindly believe that they exist? Fiction is amusing only till the distinction between fact and fiction is clear. It has led to a general opinion that size-zero is the in thing and fat and chubby are out. Advertisements carry subliminal messages influencing buyers’ psychology, or carry direct messages that bear a negative influence. But there are advertisements of expensive exercise equipment, and weight and fat loss programs. Don’t believe in them without thinking. To get rid of a big nose or to get those big pouty lips, teenagers are ready to go under the knife.

Self-hatred. Children should invest more time reading good books, studying, playing outdoors and exercising. As a responsible adult (parent or teacher), exercise control on the media exposure that kids and teenagers get. The masses fall for this being-in-the-news and end up imitating celebrities without much thought. Adults may have the maturity to distinguish between the good and the bad, but bombarding only the bad can affect anyone at least at the subconscious level. You want to wear the LBD just because you are a fan of Coco Chanel. Due to the oh-so-alluring media, most of their time is spent glued to the television, reading celebrity gossip, listening to something sensational or wandering aimlessly on the Internet. Haven’t you had experiences of a bad dream after watching a violent movie? Or of imagining something scary happening to you after watching a horror film? Or a sudden fear gripping your mind after reading about a murder in your city? The reality should be depicted but not so gaudily that it’ll have a lasting impact on people’s minds.

Fact-Fantasy Confusion

When you try to imitate your role models from the glamor industry, do you give a thought to whether you are doing right or wrong? It is often seen that young girls and boys imitate celebrities blindly. Media sources are so many in number and all of them so convincingly make their point, that it is hard to distinguish between right and wrong. An early exposure to bold or violent films, books publishing adult content and news portraying ugly social practices has a deep impact on young minds. This leads to a notion that thin is sexy and fat is not. At that age, they are attracted to anything that’s flashy and anything that can make news.

The media is so overwhelming that the masses end up believing everything it says/shows. It’s not just media to be blamed in this case.

Media portrayals give rise to stereotypes, affecting your mindset. Most believe everything to be real, especially kids and teenagers.

Right-or-Wrong Dilemma

Wrong Message

Health Problems

Unhealthy Lifestyle

Blind Imitation

Media is held responsible for the change in eating habits of teenagers and the unhealthy lifestyle they are adopting. You want to be someone, but not yourself! And now you say media does not influence you! Oh come on, it surely does! Mass media does affect the way in which masses think and act. And that’s how impactive media is.

Media has negative effects on the physical and psychological well-being of society. Not everyone is able to filter that element. No one’s propagating the importance of exercising to keep fit. How far do we go to check its authenticity? How deep do we dig to get to the root of something that’s making news? How critically do we judge the reality of reality shows and the truth behind true stories? We don’t think, we believe

Pete Rose – Photo 6 – Pictures

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Rose broke Ty Cobb’s record of 4,192 in the first inning.

Credit: AP

Pete Rose, Cincinnati Reds manager, laughs with unidentified players in the dugout as Luis Quinones circles the bases at Shea Stadium with his second homer against the New York Mets in New York, July 6, 1989. After 14 years of denials, Rose admitted he gambled, though never against the Reds, in his 2004 autobiography.

Credit: AP

Former Cincinnati Reds manager Pete Rose prepares to speak at a news conference at Riverfront Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio, Aug. 7, 1991. At right is Phillies president Bill Giles.

Credit: AP

Montreal Expos player Pete Rose in congratulated by teammates Gary Carter and Argenis Salazar following his 4000th career hit during the Expo’s home opener against the Philadelphia Phillies, April 13, 1984.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds’ Pete Rose slams his record-breaking hit fly toward left field during a game against the San Diego Padres in Cincinnati, Ohio, Sept. 2, 1982. Fosse suffered a fractured shoulder in the collision. 20, 1976.

Pete Rose, 22, of the Cincinnati Reds, Feb. 23, 2002.

Credit: AP

Former Cincinnati Reds greats, left to right, Johnny Bench, Joe Morgan, Tony Perez, and Pete Rose, tip their hats to the crowd following a celebrity softball game at Cinergy Field, Sept. 8, 1973. The rookie second baseman hit .273 to earn him the National League’s Rookie of the Year Award.

Credit: AP

In the 12th inning of the 1970 All-Star Game in Cincinnati, Ohio, July 14, 1970, Cincinnati Reds’ Pete Rose slams into Cleveland Indians’ catcher Ray Fosse to score a controversial game-winning run for the National League team. 11, 1985. At right is Yankees player Graig Nettles (9). Standing behind him are his defense lawyers Reuben Katz, left, Robert Pitcairn Jr., center, and Robert Stachler. The commissioner’s office was investigating allegations Rose bet on baseball while managing the team. Regular spring training facilities were also closed to the players.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds’ Pete Rose walks to the Reds dugout after he struck out in the ninth inning, ending his 44-game hitting streak, against the Atlanta Braves in Atlanta, Ga., Aug. Looking on are the Reds’ third base coach Leo Durocher, and Cincinnati Reds’ next hitter Dick Dietz (2).

Credit: AP

Pete Rose, left, of the Cincinnetti Reds swings at New York Mets shortstop Bud Harrelson after Rose failed to break up Harrelson’s double play in Game 3 of the National League Championship series at Shea Stadium, Oct. The Reds defeated the Yankees, 6-2.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds player Pete Rose (14) poses with his son, Pete Rose Jr., at the All-Star game at Yankee Stadium, New York City, July 19, 1977.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds star Pete Rose arrives in his Rolls-Royce to work out at the West Tampa baseball complex in Tampa, Fl., March 15, 1978. Most players had stopped their group workouts pending developments in that year’s baseball negotiations. 27, 1963. 24, 1999. 8, 1978.

Credit: AP

A foul pop from Kansas City Royals batter Frank White is deflected by Philadelphia Phillies catcher Bob Boone as Phillies first baseman Pete Rose (14) moves in to make the catch in the ninth inning of a World Series game in Philadelphia, Oct. NBC was deluged by complaints from fans in the hours after Gray’s interview. Rose was given a lifetime suspension by the baseball commissioner with the opportunity to be reinstated in one year.

Credit: AP

Former major league baseball player Pete Rose looks toward members of the media gathered outside the Marion Federal Prison after his release from the facility in Marion, Ill., Jan. 23, 2002, in Cincinnati.

Credit: AP

. The Reds beat the Mets 10-2.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds manager Pete Rose rubs his eyes while watching a game, March 24, 1989, in Plant City, Fla. Both benches and bullpens emptied in the ensuing brawl.

Credit: AP

Pete Rose of the Cincinnati Reds slides to third during eighth inning of game three in World Series action against the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, N.Y., Oct. He served a five-month sentence for tax evasion.

Credit: AP

Cincinnati Reds fans sit behind a sign in support of longtime Reds baseball star Pete Rose during the Reds’ game against the Detroit Tigers at Plant City Stadium, Plant City, Fla., March 24, 1996.

Credit: AP

Baseball great Pete Rose trades a high five with five-year-old J.D. It centered on Rose’s lifetime ban from the sport for gambling, and came minutes after Rose was announced as a member of baseball’s All-Century team.

Credit: AP/Michael Schwarz

Cal Ripken, left, Pete Rose, and Hank Aaron, right, are seen on the field after the three were named in some of the most memorable moments in baseball before the start of game 4 of the World Series in San Francisco, Oct. 22, 1980.

Credit: AP

Phillies first baseman Pete Rose gestures as he talks about his one-year, $1.2 million contract at a news conference in Philadelphia, Pa., Nov. 24, 1989. He returned to the city where he helped the Phillies win the World Series in 1980 to sign autographs at an annual Phillies-sponsored charity event.

Credit: AP

Pete Rose is interviewed by NBC’s Jim Gray after the All-Century introductions during Game 2 of the World Series in Atlanta, Ga., Oct. Rose, whose gambling got him banned from baseball in 1989, said he feels his induction into the Hall of Fame is inevitable. Cunningham at Veterans Stadium in Philadelphia, June 19, 1997

How the Sports Betting Line is Made by RJ Bell

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“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team. .

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a “preliminary” pointspread on an upcoming game.

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf).

What Is the Line Trying to Accomplish?

Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football team such as USC. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not.”

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team’s most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line “feels right.” This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

Contributed by:

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker’s effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias. Reasons for such adjustments include:

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it.

RJ Bell

┬ęPregame.com 2006

Website: http://www.Pregame.com

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ┬Ż to try and attract money on the favorite. Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the betting action, public perception and betting patterns must be taken into account. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team’s power rating are key player injuries and player trades. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an “adjusted line.”

Why the Line Changes

How the Opening Line Is Made

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’)

The History Of Racquetball – InfoBarrel

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Solidified the rules and created the very first official rule book. Joe named this sport, ‘Paddle Rackets’ which eventually was renamed ‘Racquetball’ by professional tennis player Bob McInerny . Open championships in Memphis, Tennessee is one of the few tournaments that gets air time.

Today Racquetball has not been growing like it was in the 1970s and 1980s but the fan base stays strong with an estimated 5.6 million players.

Racquetball was originally created by a man named Joe Sobek. Racquetball is not televised very frequently as it is difficult to film and keep track of the ball moving at high speeds. Sobek continued promoting the sport which was easy for most to pickup since over 40,000 handball courts exist across America.

. Soon afterwards in 1969 Robert W. When Racquetball is televised, the U.S. Finally, in 2003, the USRA changed their name for the final time to mimic other Olympic sports associations and coined themselves United States Racquetball (USAR).

There are currently three associations that handle professional games.

In 1952 Joe founded the IPRA, The International Paddler’s Racquets Association. Kendler created the IRA, The International Racquetball Association. Eventually the IRA became the American Amateur Racquetball Association which changed its name again in the late 1990s to the United States Racquetball Association. In 1973 Robert left the IRA and formed two other racquetball associations none of which have became as prominent as the IRA. Sobek played both tennis as well as handball but was looking for an extremely fast paced sport that mostly anybody could easily pickup without a large learning curve for the rules. Joe came up with the sport at the Greenwhich YMCA in a handball court. These associations are the International Racquetball Tournament, the Women’s Professional Racquetball Organization and the Legends Tour