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RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares).
To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.
By: Manny G
Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.
The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.
The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.
College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.
Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..
The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.
Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. . Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.
So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.
So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.
NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at. The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.
So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction
It’s not possible to insulate yourself completely from the effects of media, even if you limit the exposure. And there are so many things you see around you, without choosing to watch them. Media influences public opinion and impacts the choices that people make. Parents and teachers have a big role to play in selecting what the young should see and what they should not.
To some extent, media is responsible for generating negative feelings among those exposed to it. But unfortunately sometimes, the message is misconstrued. The impact of media is such that the wrong, the controversial, and the bad is more talked about. An inferiority complex and lowered confidence in people with not-so-perfect bodies can lead to eating disorders. Here, we will try to understand how media influences us negatively.
The media in itself is so addictive that once glued to it, you tend to forget everything else. There’s no one advertising the benefits of eating fresh fruit everyday, no one’s promoting drinking 8 glasses of water daily. There is no denying their amusement value or entertainment quotient. This is leading teenagers to adopt unhealthy eating habits. Just like them, even you want to be in the news. Don’t take media portrayals by their word. What is shown with an intent to ‘spread a message’ ends up becoming a bombardment of the bad, the ugly. Media is the interface through which millions look at the world outside. Those at a vulnerable age, especially children and teenagers, are highly influenced by anything that is put before them in a jazzy way. Sometimes, little things are blown out of proportion thus changing the way they are perceived by the audience. The craze for models or actors and actresses, makes teenagers want bodies and facial features like theirs. So there is a section positively influenced by the media while there are others who take the wrong message from it. Aren’t there ghost and vampire stories that media claims as real? These characters enter our world through books and movies. Refrain from watching such programs or news. While a certain amount of exposure to media is essential for introducing ourselves to the world outside, excessive exposure, uncontrolled access and belief without thought won’t lead us anywhere. It influences their behavior both positively and negatively. You want to wear the shade of nail polish Lady Gaga wears for that frantic gaga look. The ‘awakening’ does not reach everyone or it reaches the masses in the wrong way. Any publicity is good publicity, you begin to feel.
Your role models are people that the media exposes you to. The only way to shield yourself from them, is to not allow them to influence you. Lack of physical activity leads to obesity problems. When you are not watching TV, you are surfing the Internet, when you are not on the web, you are reading newspapers, when you are not reading anything, you are listening to something. The bad is overinflated and the good goes unnoticed. The media is constantly bombarding us with information. They will only make the negative influence of media more obvious.
The media has, in its own way, changed people’s outlook towards life. This can, and has led to increasing cases of anorexia. And not just children, the unpleasant can impact even an adult’s mind. Media is exposing the masses to fast food products, canned food, fad diets, and energy drinks. With a ‘world’ of information and entertainment waiting on the other side of a computer or TV screen, it’s not unnatural for anyone to spend hours exploring it; it’s addictive. Instead, watch good programs that carry healthy content, engage in positive activities, and encourage others to do the same. They are ready to starve themselves to lose weight. The media does play a role in portraying thin as beautiful and fat as ugly. With the intent of stressing their point or for grabbing greater attention from the masses, media hypes or exaggerates things to a certain degree. But media did play a role in propagating these characters and making them seem real. In a survey done on fifth graders by the National Institute on Media and the Family, it was found that kids had become dissatisfied with their bodies after watching a video of a certain very popular artiste and a certain scene from a popular TV show (names omitted on purpose).
You want to imitate an action sequence just because your favorite action hero looked ‘cool’ doing it. If children are bombarded with fight sequences, stunt work, sex and rape scenes, suicides and murders through books or movies, they are bound to leave a scar on these impressionable minds. When the two worlds mix, life becomes difficult.
The negatives in society are highlighted with the purpose of awakening people about them. Sometimes, small incidents or events in the lives of celebrities and politicians are hyped, in order to make them more sensational. The positive effects are surely celebrated by one and all. But the negative effects are not conducive to a healthy society. Put things in perspective, and don’t let the media influence you to do the wrong things.
Vampires, werewolves, witches, ghosts – where did they come from? Fairies, superheroes, angels – where did they come from? It’s not only media to be blamed, as these characters belong to folklore. We don’t judge, we get influenced. The benefits of following a balanced diet are not being hyped anywhere. People spending hours in front of a television or surfing the Internet experience eye problems. Watching TV or browsing the web late night is spoiling the sleeping habits of many.
The solution to avoiding the negative influence of media lies in limiting media exposure and choosing what to watch. News sources often bombard you with the same negative stories over and over again, in order to increase the impact. For example, the negative effects of addiction are portrayed through advertisements. You want to do everything that people from the glamor world do, you want to be like your favorite celebrity. The reel entertains only till its difference from the real is understood. When this thought grips the minds of youngsters, they take to fad diets or turn to cosmetic surgeries to get that so-called perfect body. It is bombarding you with content, news, information, gossip, rumors – it is exposing you to everything it has, some things necessary, some not; some things important, some not, some things you want to ignore, some things you cannot. Media is everywhere, affecting every aspect of life.
The negative effects of media on children are manifested in terms of their changing mental setup and the declining quality of their lifestyle. Newspapers, television and the Internet are used to convey social messages. Depiction of the bad has a negative impact on kids not mature enough to interpret what they are being shown. This affects kids and teenagers the most, as they are exposed to things they might interpret wrongly or may not even understand at that age.
Women with petite bodies and girls with a barbie figure are always shown to be more popular or attractive while the overweight are portrayed as less popular, having less friends and being bullied. Thus, all the time, you are glued to some form of media. Media claims to depict the ‘today’, but not all types of media show only the truth. Media highlights controversies and scandals in the lives of celebrities. Media influences them negatively. Use your judgment before following or falling for anything. You want to sport your favorite actors’ hairstyles and you want to walk like those ramp models do. This makes the overweight feel out of place. You ask me why? Well, because there are these junk food advertisements everywhere. But isn’t it too much to blindly believe that they exist? Fiction is amusing only till the distinction between fact and fiction is clear. It has led to a general opinion that size-zero is the in thing and fat and chubby are out. Advertisements carry subliminal messages influencing buyers’ psychology, or carry direct messages that bear a negative influence. But there are advertisements of expensive exercise equipment, and weight and fat loss programs. Don’t believe in them without thinking. To get rid of a big nose or to get those big pouty lips, teenagers are ready to go under the knife.
Self-hatred. Children should invest more time reading good books, studying, playing outdoors and exercising. As a responsible adult (parent or teacher), exercise control on the media exposure that kids and teenagers get. The masses fall for this being-in-the-news and end up imitating celebrities without much thought. Adults may have the maturity to distinguish between the good and the bad, but bombarding only the bad can affect anyone at least at the subconscious level. You want to wear the LBD just because you are a fan of Coco Chanel. Due to the oh-so-alluring media, most of their time is spent glued to the television, reading celebrity gossip, listening to something sensational or wandering aimlessly on the Internet. Haven’t you had experiences of a bad dream after watching a violent movie? Or of imagining something scary happening to you after watching a horror film? Or a sudden fear gripping your mind after reading about a murder in your city? The reality should be depicted but not so gaudily that it’ll have a lasting impact on people’s minds.
When you try to imitate your role models from the glamor industry, do you give a thought to whether you are doing right or wrong? It is often seen that young girls and boys imitate celebrities blindly. Media sources are so many in number and all of them so convincingly make their point, that it is hard to distinguish between right and wrong. An early exposure to bold or violent films, books publishing adult content and news portraying ugly social practices has a deep impact on young minds. This leads to a notion that thin is sexy and fat is not. At that age, they are attracted to anything that’s flashy and anything that can make news.
The media is so overwhelming that the masses end up believing everything it says/shows. It’s not just media to be blamed in this case.
Media portrayals give rise to stereotypes, affecting your mindset. Most believe everything to be real, especially kids and teenagers.
Media is held responsible for the change in eating habits of teenagers and the unhealthy lifestyle they are adopting. You want to be someone, but not yourself! And now you say media does not influence you! Oh come on, it surely does! Mass media does affect the way in which masses think and act. And that’s how impactive media is.
Media has negative effects on the physical and psychological well-being of society. Not everyone is able to filter that element. No one’s propagating the importance of exercising to keep fit. How far do we go to check its authenticity? How deep do we dig to get to the root of something that’s making news? How critically do we judge the reality of reality shows and the truth behind true stories? We don’t think, we believe